KSU Weekly Grain Market Analysis: Anticipating the April WASDE + Kansas Crop Cost-Returns

Grain market summary notes, charts and comments supporting the Grain Market Update presented in the KSU Agriculture Today radio program to be played on Friday, April 7, 2017 are available on the Kansas State University www.AgManager.info website at the following KSU web address:

http://www.agmanager.info/sites/default/files/pdf/KSRN_GrainOutlook_03-31-17.pdf

The recorded radio program was aired at 10:03 a.m. central time, Friday, April 7, 2017 on the K-State Radio Network (KSU Agriculture Today Radio) – web player available. A copy of the April 7th recording is available at the KSU Agriculture Today website.

Following are sections of the Working notes for this week’s radio program up on the KSU AgManager.info website…

Evaluating USDA Prospective Plantings and Grain Stocks Reports “By the Numbers”

Following are some extensive data tables representing a Kansas State University perspective on the USDA reports released today, i.e., the Prospective Plantings and Grain Stocks Reports.  Lower than expected 2017 planted acres intentions for U.S. corn, grain sorghum, and durum wheat, and more for soybeans.   Less than expected DEC-FEB 2017 feed usage of corn, wheat, and soybeans led to higher March 1, 2017 grain stocks for these same crops.   Following are tables from KSU comparing the results of these reports to prereport trade expections and the last 3 actual years.

 

USDA Grain Transportation Report – Overview of U.S. Grain Transportation and Exports in March 2017

The March 30th USDA Grain Transportation Report from the USDA Agricultural Marketing Service focuses focuses on grain transportation and export trends critical to U.S. grain markets.   The pace of U.S. grain exports in the “current” 2016/17 marketing years for U.S. corn and soybeans is evidenced in these numbers and their impact on the U.S. rail, river, truck, and ocean transportation systems.

This report also shows the amount of U.S. hard red winter wheat exports relative to other U.S. classes of grain, and also where and by what means grain is flowing in the U.S. (i.e., via the Mississippi and Missouri River System to the Gulf of Mexico, rail to the Pacific Northwest, and via the St. Lawrence Seaway)

This is great information to consider in trying to understand the factors affecting U.S. grain markets.   Following is a selection of the information in this report, with a full report provided at the USDA AMS website.

 

KSU Weekly Grain Market Analysis: Pre-Report Trade Estimates for March 31st Prospective Plantings and Quarterly Stocks

Grain market summary notes, charts and comments ahead of the KSU Agriculture Today Grain Outlook to played on Friday, March 31, 2016 are available on the Kansas State University www.AgManager.info website at the following web address:

http://www.agmanager.info/sites/default/files/pdf/KSRN_GrainOutlook_03-31-17.pdf

The recorded radio program will be aired at 10:03 a.m. central time, Friday, March 31st on the K-State Radio Network (here) – with the program available to listen to online.  After the program airs, a recording can also be listened to from the KSU AgManager.info website via a link  in the “Radio Interviews” section: http://www.agmanager.info/news

 

KSU Weekly Grain Market Analysis: “Next Crop” MY 2016/17 S-D and Price Scenarios for U.S. Corn, Wheat and Soybeans

Grain market summary notes, charts and comments ahead of the Grain Market Update to played on Friday, March 24, 2017 on the KSU Agriculture Today Radio program are available on the Kansas State University www.AgManager.info website at the following web address:

http://www.agmanager.info/sites/default/files/pdf/KSRN_GrainOutlook_03-24-17_0.pdf

The recorded radio program will be aired at 10:03 a.m. central time, Friday, March 24th on the K-State Radio Network (here) – with the program available to listen to online.  After the program airs, a recording can also be listened to from the KSU AgManager.info website via a link  in the “News” section: http://www.agmanager.info/news

 

Key Supply-Demand Factors “Driving” Grain Markets (KSU Extension Ag Economics)

The following presentation on “Key Supply-Demand Factors ‘Driving” Grain Markets” was given on Tuesday, March 14, 2017 to the AgEcon 605 class on “Price Analysis and Forecasting” as a guest lecture.  The class is regularly taught by Dr. Richard Llewelyn of the Kansas State University Department of Agricultural Economics.

This presentation focuses on the key factors that have been “driving” or influencing grain markets over the last 15-25 years.   The full presentation will be available on the KSU Agricultural Economics website at the following web location:

http://www.agmanager.info/sites/default/files/pdf/OBrien_GrainMarketDrivers_03-15-17.pdf

 

 

 

KSU Weekly Grain Market Analysis: “Grinding” Thru February in the U.S. on the way to Spring Planting

Grain market summary notes, charts and comments ahead of the KSU Agriculture Today Grain Outlook to played on Friday, February 17, 2017 are available on the Kansas State University www.AgManager.info website at the following web address:

https://www.agmanager.info/sites/default/files/pdf/KSRN_GrainOutlook_02-17-17.pdf

The recorded radio program will be aired at 10:03 a.m. central time, Friday, February 17 on the K-State Radio Network (here) – with the program available to listen to online.  After the program airs, a recording can also be listened to from the KSU AgManager.info website via a link  in the “Radio Interviews” section: http://www.agmanager.info/news/default.asp

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