KSU “Quick Analysis” Calculations of USDA September 12th Reports – Large fall crops coming with low harvest prices likely

A KSU “quick analysis” worksheet of the key grain marketing-related information found in the September 12th USDA Crop Production and World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) reports can be found on the Kansas State University AgManager.info website (http://www.agmanager.info/).

The specific web address for this downloadable MS Excel Spreadsheet is found here:

http://www.agmanager.info/grain-marketing/grain-market-outlook-newsletter

The spreadsheet contains a comparison of USDA September 12, 2016 U.S. and Foreign grain supply-demand and market price forecasts for the “new crop” 2016/17 marketing year for corn, wheat, soybeans and grain sorghum, with comparisons to a) pre-report trade estimates, and b) last month’s (August 2016) USDA grain production, supply-demand, and price projections.  Key information is contained on the following:

A. United States’, Brazil, Argentina and Total World crop production forecasts for 2016 corn, grain sorghum, wheat and soybeans.

B. Updated U.S. & World ending stocks projections for the “old crop” 2015/16 marketing years for major crops (corn, sorghum, wheat, and soybeans).

C. Updated U.S. & World ending stocks projections for the “new crop” 2016/17 marketing year for major crops & crop categories (corn, coarse grains, wheat, and soybeans).

The worksheet also contains a more extensive foreign country-by-country analysis of the September 12, 2016 WASDE report results in regards to World wheat, coarse grain, corn and soybean supply-demand, focusing on country-by-country (or region-by-region in many cases) projections of production, imports, exports, domestic feed use, total domestic use, ending stocks, and percent ending stocks-to-use.

slide1 slide2 slide3 slide4 slide5 slide6 slide7

https://i1.wp.com/kansasagnetwork.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/Kansas-Sorghum-Harvest.jpg

A. Kansas Sorghum being harvested in November 2015 (Source: http://kansasagnetwork.com/2015/kansas-fall-harvest-and-wheat-planting-nearing-the-finish-line/)

https://i1.wp.com/kansasagnetwork.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/11/Fall-Corn-Harvest.jpg

Scenes from Kansas Corn harvest in 2014 (source: http://kansasagnetwork.com/2014/kansas-farm-bureau-insight-successful-farming/)

https://i1.wp.com/kansasagnetwork.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/Kansas-Soybean-Harvest1.jpg

Kansas soybean harvest in late September 2015 (Source: http://kansasagnetwork.com/2015/soybean-harvest-underway-in-kansas/)

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