KSU Weekly Grain Market Analysis: Sideways-to-weak grain markets heading into spring planting

Grain market summary notes, charts and comments ahead of the KSU Agriculture Today Grain Outlook to played on Friday, April 24th will be up on  the Kansas State University www.AgManager.info website at the following web address: http://www.agmanager.info/news/Articles/KSRN_GrainOutlook_04-24-15.pdf

The recorded radio program will be aired at 10:03 a.m. central time, Friday, April 24th on the K-State Radio Network (here) – web player available.  At this time the program, the recording can also be listened to via a link from the following website in the “Radio Interviews” section: http://www.agmanager.info/news/default.asp

Following are selected parts of the April 24th grain market outlook working notes from KSU Ag Economics.

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KSU Weekly Grain Market Analysis: Corn, Sorghum, Wheat, Soybean Forecasts for “Next Crop” MY 2015/16

Grain market summary notes, charts and comments for the KSU Agriculture Today Grain Outlook played on Friday, April 17th are available on  the Kansas State University www.AgManager.info website at the following web address: http://www.agmanager.info/news/Articles/KSRN_GrainOutlook_04-17-15.pdf The recorded radio program was aired at 10:03 a.m. central time, Friday, April 17th on the K-State Radio Network (here) – web player available.  The recording of this program can also be listened to via a link from the following website in the “Radio Interviews” section: http://www.agmanager.info/news/default.asp Following are a summary of the working notes published today, Friday, April 17, 2015. Slide1 Slide2 Slide3 Slide4 Slide5 Slide6 Slide7 Slide8 Slide9 Slide10 Slide11 Slide12 Slide13 Slide14 Slide15 Slide16 Slide17 Slide18 Slide19 Slide20 Slide21 Slide22

KSU Weekly Grain Market Analysis: Aftermath of the April 9th USDA WASDE Report

Grain market summary notes, charts and comments ahead of the KSU Agriculture Today Grain Outlook to played on Friday, April 10th  are up on  the Kansas State University www.AgManager.info website at the following web address: http://www.agmanager.info/news/Articles/KSRN_GrainOutlook_04-10-15.pdf

The recorded radio program will be aired at 10:03 a.m. central time, Friday, April 10th on the K-State Radio Network (here) – web player available.  At this time the program, the recording can also be listened to via a link from the following website in the “Radio Interviews” section: http://www.agmanager.info/news/default.asp

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KSU “Quick Analysis” of the ‘Numbers’ in the USDA April 9, 2015 WASDE Report for Grains

A KSU “quick analysis” worksheet of the key grain marketing-related information found in the April 9th USDA Crop Production and World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) reports can be found on the Kansas State University AgManager.info website (http://www.agmanager.info/). The specific web address for this downloadable MS Excel Spreadsheet is found here:  http://www.agmanager.info/marketing/outlook/newletters/default.asp

The spreadsheet contains a comparison of USDA April 10th U.S. and Foreign grain supply-demand and market supply-demand forecasts for the “current crop” 2014/15 marketing year for corn, wheat, soybeans and grain sorghum, with comparisons to a) pre-report trade estimates, and b) last month’s (March 10, 2015) USDA grain production and other supply-demand projections.  Key information is contained on the following:

A. Brazil, Argentina and Total World crop production forecasts for 2015 corn, grain sorghum, wheat and soybeans.

B. Updated U.S. & World ending stocks projections for the “old crop” 2013/14 marketing year as well as for the “current” 2014/15 marketing year for major crops (corn, sorghum, wheat, and soybeans).

C. Updated U.S. & World ending stocks projections for the “new crop” 2014/15 marketing year for major crops & crop categories (corn, coarse grains, wheat, and soybeans).

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Recommended Farmdoc Article re: 2015 U.S. Crop Planting Intentions Questions (Good and Irwin)

Agricultural Economists Darrel Good and Scott Irwin of the University of Illinois have an outstanding article on “The Acreage Puzzle” on the Farmdoc web site.  This article provides a quantified analytical perspective on questions about what seems to be unexpectedly low U.S. crop planted acreage totals as reported in the 2015 USDA Prospective Plantings report released on March 31, 2015.

Their final summary idea is that it would not be a surprise to see 2015 U.S. crop acreage – especially for U.S. soybeans – end up being somewhat higher than indicated by the USDA on March 31st.

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April 2, 2015

The Acreage Puzzle

Darrel Good and Scott Irwin

Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
University of Illinois

farmdoc daily (5):61


Recommended citation format: Good, D., and S. Irwin. “The Acreage Puzzle.” farmdoc daily (5):61, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, April 2, 2015.

https://i0.wp.com/fieldcrop.msu.edu/images/banner_cornsoybeans.jpg

U.S. corn and soybeans side by side (Source of image: http://fieldcrop.msu.edu/ )

KSU Weekly Grain Market Analysis: Post-Planting and Stocks, On to a 2015 Crop Production Focus

Grain market summary notes, charts and comments ahead of the KSU Agriculture Today Grain Outlook Radio program to played on Friday, April 3rd are available on the Kansas State University www.AgManager.info website at the following web address: http://www.agmanager.info/news/Articles/KSRN_GrainOutlook_04-03-15.pdf

The recorded radio program will be aired at 10:03 a.m. central time, Friday, April 3rd on the K-State Radio Network (here) – web player available.  After the program has run, the recording can also be listened to via a link from the following website in the “Radio Interviews” section: http://www.agmanager.info/news/default.asp

Following are sections of the working notes prepared for the April 3rd radio program:

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